Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
2 LU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
5 ZHANG Raphael 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
6 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
7 CHAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
8 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
9 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 21%
10 YANG Charles 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
11 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
12 BIELER Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
13 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 23%
14 LEE SIYUN 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
15 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
16 DANIEL Nikith 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1%
17 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
18 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
19 LI Richard 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
20 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 15%
21 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
22 CHEN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
23 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
24 PARK William 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
25 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
25 FOY Grant 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
27 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 3% -
28 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
29 LEE JISUNG 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
30 LEE Mason 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
31 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
32 YANG Tate 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 10% 1%
33 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
34 QU Zhida (richard) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
35 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
36 YOU Alan 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 12%
37 DENG David 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
38 HONG Edwin 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
39 YU Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
40 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
41 WANG sicheng 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
42 KIM Andrew 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
43 ZHANG Max 100% 90% 58% 23% 6% 1% -
44 GUO Joey 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
45 GOERDEL Hitchens 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
46 WU Thomas 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% -
47 CHEN Jason 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
48 PARK Andrew 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
49 HUANG Nathan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
50 ZHANG Jayden 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
50 YU ShiLin (Harry) 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
52 SUNG Ivan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
53 KO Darren 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
54 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
55 BURRES kenneth 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
56 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 99% 86% 49% 11% -
57 LI Lucas 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4%
58 PE Noah 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
59 MAO Runxian 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
60 YANG Aaron 100% 82% 42% 12% 1% - -
61 YE Jerry 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
62 ALANAZI Saif 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1%
63 HARRIS Hayden 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
64 HE Ian 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
65 LEE Joshua 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 3% -
66 SLAIN Owen 100% 76% 28% 5% - -
67 DULAI Agam 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
68 ALVAREZ Francisco Janusz 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
69 BURRES stuart 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
70 YANG Steve 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
71 WANG Alekai 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10% 1%
72 LI Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 7%
73 HOU Xiaolin (Kobe) 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
74 RAU Shogun 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
75 ZHANG Andrew 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
76 ANDRADE Cedric 100% 94% 66% 24% 3% -
77 YU ShiYu (Henry) 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
78 LEE Abin 100% 99% 88% 49% 14% 2% -
79 OZCAN Archer 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
80 HA JUWON 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% - -
81 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
82 WANG Waylon 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
83 LI Daniel 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
84 FOLOMEEV Aleksandr 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
85 HE Gary 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
86 MA Oliver 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
87 BANUELOS Dario 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
88 ZENG Albert 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
89 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
90 YOO Christian 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
91 SHENOY sean 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
92 HO Cameron 100% 80% 25% 3% - - -
93 KWONG Colin 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
94 HUANG Terrance 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
95 QIU Yiran 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
96 EMARA Yaseen 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
97 JACOB Ezra 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
98 CHEN Aiden 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
99 OH Kepler 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
100 LI Maxwell 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
101 CHAN Jaxton 100% 34% 5% - - -
102 EMARA Yousuf 100% 41% 5% - - - -
102 MA Justin 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
104 WONG Nathaniel 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
105 MURDOCK Koichi 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
106 KIM Harrison 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1% -
107 SORENSEN Ian 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.