Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
2 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
3 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 9%
3 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
5 BRYZGALOVA Svitlana 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 65%
6 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 17%
7 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
8 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
9 VO Bao-Vy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
10 OH Ceana 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 17%
11 BAE Yooju 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 1%
12 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
13 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
14 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
15 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 15%
16 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
17 WU Nicole Moxuan 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3% < 1%
18 HU Jenna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
19 CUI alivia 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
20 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
21 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
22 YUEN Elsie 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
23 WANG Carol 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
24 KIM Sydney 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
24 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
26 GUO Audrey 100% 100% 94% 66% 20% 3% -
27 HOVAGHIMIAN Fira 100% 100% 90% 58% 20% 3%
28 MONAT Jennifer 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
29 LI Joy 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
30 HAN Gian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
31 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 83% 45% 12% 1%
32 MENG Annabel 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
33 DESAI Esha 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4% -
34 MENDOZA TALAMANTES Aleydiz 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
35 TIKHONOVA Sofia 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
36 ZHENG Zoe 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
37 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
38 ZHANG Lian 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
39 KO Claire 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
40 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13% 1%
41 WILLIAMSON Tessa 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
42 ANDONIAN Lauren 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
43 CHO Karis 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
44 GOEL Riyana 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
45 VILLARAMA Kara 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
46 LAY Apollonia 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13% 1%
47 LIU Samantha 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
48 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
49 CHOI Sophie 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
50 CHANG Olivia 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
51 CHANG Janelle 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% - -
52 ZONG Melody 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
53 MA Yifei (Olivia) 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
54 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
55 PORRAS Sofia 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
56 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2% -
57 WANG Dina C. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
58 PU claire 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
59 SCHULTZ Nomi 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
60 HUGHES Olivia 100% 82% 35% 6% - - -
61 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 100% 96% 71% 26% 4% - -
62 SREENIVAS Ridhi 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
63 LIU Angelina 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% - -
64 CHU Felicity 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
65 SAH Madeleine 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
66 JACOB Norah 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
67 NGUYEN Chloe 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
68 LEE LAUREN 100% 5% - - - -
69 KURIKI Emma 100% 97% 74% 26% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.