Daugherty Challenge ROC DIV1/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

St. Louis, MO - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
2 BENACK Mark 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
3 ZEKO David J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
3 FREDERIKSEN Ean L. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
5 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
6 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
7 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
8 FREDERIKSEN Elijah L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
9 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
10 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
11 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
12 PEREZ Bernardo A. 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
13 DOSS Adam D. 100% 97% 76% 33% 7% 1%
14 HART Jackson 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
15 RIBAUDO David J. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
16 JUSCINSKI Michal 100% 90% 48% 12% 1% -
17 BEACH John 100% 98% 66% 24% 4% -
18 KRIEGISCH Jacob A. 100% 40% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.