Daugherty Challenge ROC DIV1/RJCC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, May 5, 2019 at 12:00 PM

St. Louis, MO - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BURN Lauren M. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
2 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
3 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 BOTNER Olivia 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
5 HAUK Zsofia F. 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
6 DOUGLAS Mary K. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
7 GROSSL Karina 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
8 WANG Grace 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
9 OH Kaitlin Y. 100% 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
10 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
11 BARR Abigail D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 METTE Alexis 100% 21% 2% - - - -
13 WALLACE Madison K. 100% 65% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.