George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | JIANG Bowang | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 2 | STRADOMSKYI Klim | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 3 | MOORHOUSE Emmett | V V V V D V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | ISAACSON Bjorn | V V V V D V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 5 | HINDS David E. | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 6 | HAFEZ Tahiyah | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 7 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | V D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 8 | JOHN AYI Neville Pascal | D V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 9 | BURKE Daniel J. | V V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 10 | XU Dinghui Ryan | V V V V D D | V | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 11 | ZIMSKY James | D V D V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 12 | BLAM Aaron | V D V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 13 | SNIVELY Mark C. | V V V V D D | V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 14 | NSUBUGA Jeffrey | D V D D V V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 15 | HAYES Nathan P. | V D D V V D | V D | 5.1 | 3 | -2.1 |
| 16 | CANDELARIA Armando | D D V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 17 | ZAIDI Sohail | V D V V V D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 18 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | D D V V V V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 18 | ZAIDI Adil | D D V V V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 20 | ROGERS Windell | D V D D V V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 21 | MACKAY Ian | D V V D D V | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 22 | RYAN Sean | V V D D V D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 23 | MORRIS Luke | V V D D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 24 | PISTONE Leah | D D V D V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 25 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 26 | BARTLETT Lauren | V V D D D D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 27 | SHEA Aleksander | D V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 28 | LAMBERT Luke | D D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 29 | POOLE Katherine | V D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 30 | PHILIPPON Grace | D D V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 31 | THALBERG Alexandra E | D D D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 32 | TREADWAY Ella | D D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 33 | LEE Hans | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 34 | WONG Man Hei | D D D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| 35 | LIMBER Ellen | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.