George Mason University Patriot Open 2023

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 3:00 PM

George Mason Recreational Athletics Complex (RAC) - Fairfax, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PATRICK Timothy M. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
2 SEMP Brannon A. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 JOHNSON Waldron - - 3% 23% 48% 26%
3 PAGAN Andrew - 1% 13% 40% 36% 10%
5 JENSBY Jason - - 3% 24% 47% 26%
6 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. - 1% 10% 37% 42% 10%
7 BENSON Jacob 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
8 ALVARADO Diana - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
9 FARAON Paulus 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
10 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
11 LESTYAN Cat 31% 58% 10% 1% - -
12 ABU-AJAJ Mohamed 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
13 WATTS Liam 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
14 BARR Corinne 50% 42% 8% - - -
15 REED Michael < 1% 11% 54% 29% 5% -
16 SIMS Martin L. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
17 URIBE David 8% 32% 40% 17% 3% -
18 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
19 KHATTAK Sara 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.