The Infinity Cup RYC/RJCC/DV2 & Non-Regional D1A

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Savannah Convention Center - Savannah, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LEE emily	-	1%	6%	25%	42%	26%
2	PARK Zena	-	2%	13%	32%	37%	16%
3	MARISI Gianna	-	-	-	2%	11%	38%	49%
3	WANG Sophia	-	1%	9%	31%	43%	17%
5	HAFEZ Tahiyah	-	-	-	3%	16%	41%	39%
6	PARK Lina	-	-	3%	16%	41%	40%
7	EVELAND Zoe	1%	11%	29%	36%	19%	3%
8	LIU Elinda	4%	19%	36%	29%	11%	1%
9	ALLEYNE Taylar	-	2%	11%	32%	36%	17%	2%
10	CHOI JULIE	-	2%	11%	30%	37%	18%	3%
11	VIJAYAKUMAR Diya	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	28%	6%
12	IQBAL Mariam	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	3%
13	PINEDA jade luna	-	5%	20%	36%	29%	9%
13	OWENS Elise	2%	13%	32%	34%	16%	2%
15	ARMSTRONG Olivia	1%	7%	23%	35%	26%	8%	1%
16	BUDKO Julia	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
17	DONG Emily	2%	15%	33%	33%	15%	3%
18	CAO Kayla	4%	22%	39%	27%	8%	1%
19	UHRICH Reese	5%	25%	37%	24%	8%	1%	-
20	WRIGHT Trinity	4%	23%	39%	26%	7%	1%	-
21	HOOGSTRA Lucy	-	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	2%
22	BROWN Lily	3%	20%	39%	29%	9%	1%
23	ZAHRAN Emily	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
24	TAN Isabella	2%	14%	37%	33%	13%	2%	-
25	VENZON Makena Jane	38%	41%	17%	3%	-	-	-
26	WRIGHT Taliyah	7%	27%	37%	23%	6%	1%
27	KIM Alison	32%	45%	20%	4%	-	-
28	KUTATELADZE Anna	16%	42%	31%	10%	2%	-	-
29	DASILVA Mia	32%	42%	21%	5%	1%	-
30	LIU Joanna	3%	22%	40%	28%	7%	-
31	YOTHER Anna	42%	44%	13%	2%	-	-	-
31	MARTINA-BRITO Ella	< 1%	1%	7%	26%	40%	23%	3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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