The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

American Challenge ROC #1 (Div1A, Div2, and Vet)

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, October 21, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
2 HIRSCH Sydney R. - - 1% 7% 31% 51% 10%
3 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
5 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - - - 8% 40% 52%
6 HILADO Sarah 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
7 GHOSH Priyanka 21% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
8 VAN ATTA Grace Y. 3% 19% 40% 32% 6% - -
9 WEINBERG Alexandra L. - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10%
10 SATHYANATH Kailing - 8% 35% 39% 16% 2%
11 VALADEZ Emily T. 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
12 TURNOF Kayla M. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
13 MACE Eliza M. - - 3% 19% 46% 27% 4%
14 KATZ Anat - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
15 SAYLES Nina R. 1% 13% 35% 37% 13% 1%
16 FEIGELES Carolyn A. 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
17 POKRIFKA Gwenore F. 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
18 GARIBIAN Emma E. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
19 FORCELLATI Meghan R. 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
20 WAGNER Madelyn G. 16% 44% 32% 8% 1% -
21 KOO Samantha - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
22 YANG Kaitlyn H. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
23 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
24 WEBER Juliana I. - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
25 SHAY-TANNAS Zoe 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
26 YURT Leyla 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
27 O'HARA Eimile J. 2% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1%
28 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 12% 42% 34% 10% 1% - -
29 DANIELS Erica 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
30 HAMMARBERG Shaine Trea 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
31 WHEELER Kira 46% 42% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.