American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
2 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
3 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
3 ZHANG Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
5 YOON Julia J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
6 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
7 FAZZINI Angelina 100% 97% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
8 WU Fan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
9 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
10 YAO Jillian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
11 GUZZI Jordan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
12 BRANDWEIN Elizabeth 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
13 GAO Judy 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
14 MING Cynthia 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
15 MUTAKABBIR Amira 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
16 SAM Kayli 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
17 LU Junyao 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
18 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 99% 87% 55% 22% 5% < 1%
19 TOLBA Salma 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
20 YANG Chloe 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
21 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 7%
22 LI Allison 100% 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
23 BECCHINA Olivia 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
24 CORDERO Allison 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
25 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 11%
26 BLAKE Caira 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
27 LI Alisha 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
27 CHANG Ella 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
29 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
30 MOK Chloe R. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
31 ZENG Katrina 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
32 OAKE Erica 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
33 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
34 PAN Michelle 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
35 GANGEMI Julia 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
36 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
36 XU Jessica 100% 82% 44% 15% 3% - -
38 MATERASSO Carolyne 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
39 GOLDEN Danielle 100% 93% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
40 NICOU Nicole 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
41 ZISCHKE Alexandra A. 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
42 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
43 LIU Alice 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
44 GORTI Saumya 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
45 RAMANATHAN Eesha 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
46 SINGH Aayushi 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
47 BONAR Natalia 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
47 CHEN Kristina 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
49 MAMKIN Anastasia 100% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.