Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSaturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2549 | 2722 - 2372 |
| 5 - 8 | 2266 | 2304 - 2237 |
| 9 - 16 | 2194 | 2232 - 2161 |
| 17 - 32 | 1937 | 2099 - 1861 |
| 33 - 64 | 1634 | 1853 - 1200 |
| 65 - 77 | 950 | 1523 - 228 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.