Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSaturday, January 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2451 | 2787 - 2266 |
| 5 - 8 | 2209 | 2261 - 2103 |
| 9 - 16 | 2067 | 2103 - 2024 |
| 17 - 32 | 1764 | 2020 - 1505 |
| 33 - 45 | 1353 | 1742 - 978 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.