American Challenge ROC (DIV1A, DIV2, VET) & RJC

Div I-A Women's Saber

Sunday, October 6, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Madison, NJ - Madison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROWN Emma - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
2 GHOSH Priyanka - - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
3 SAYLES Nina R. 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7%
3 PAK Kaitlyn - - 3% 20% 44% 33%
5 CHIOLDI Mina 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
6 HASSAN Aziza R. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
7 WEBER Juliana I. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
8 SATHYANATH Kailing - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
9 HUBER Emily V. - - 1% 8% 30% 48% 13%
10 TIBURCIO Diana - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
11 SHOMAN Miriam 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
12 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
13 WEINBERG Alexandra L. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
14 FERRARI-BRIDGERS Marinella O. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
15 AKARD Micah M. 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 9% 1%
16 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) - 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
17 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
18 LI Amanda C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
19 NI Sharon - 1% 21% 39% 29% 9% 1%
20 MANUBAG Amanda R. 1% 6% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
21 SHOMAN Jenna - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
22 TAO Hannah J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
23 NEWELL Alexia C. - - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
24 SHVARTSMAN Rochelle - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
25 BLUM Leah I. - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
26 BOIS Adele 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 7%
27 YANG Kaitlyn H. - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
28 ATLURI Sara V. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
29 CHEN Erica - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
30 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
31 HILD Nisha 2% 12% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
32 YANG Ashley M. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
33 GORMLEY Arwen E. 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1%
34 DEPEW Charlotte R. 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
35 DARINGA Arianna 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1%
36 XIKES Katherine E. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
37 MAREK Sofia 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
38 CANNON Sophia E. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
39 KOO Samantha 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
40 ALCEBAR Kayla 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
41 YURT Leyla 3% 24% 43% 24% 5% -
42 OGDEN Kayla A. - - 3% 18% 36% 32% 11%
43 ZOLA Candace J. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
43 LEVITIS Danielle - 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
45 SHIH Christina 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
46 NEIBART Fiona 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
47 RIZKALA Joanna 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
48 KRYLOVA Valery 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% -
49 BALAKUMARAN Maya 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% -
50 KATZ Anat 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
51 SINHA Anika 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
52 CHIANG Emily 11% 41% 36% 11% 1% -
53 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
54 CHARLES Caitlin 29% 62% 9% - - - -
55 WHEELER Kira 54% 38% 8% 1% - -
56 FIDLER Sara 64% 34% 1% - - - -
57 FAUSTINO Emily 98% 2% - - - - -
58 SWIFT Olana 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.