Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSaturday, January 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 1778 | 1821 - 1716 |
| 5 - 8 | 1508 | 1529 - 1478 |
| 9 - 16 | 1432 | 1691 - 1265 |
| 17 - 32 | 1217 | 1382 - 987 |
| 33 - 50 | 821 | 1342 - 476 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.