Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2229 | 2530 - 2116 |
| 5 - 8 | 2100 | 2110 - 2085 |
| 9 - 16 | 1888 | 2021 - 1784 |
| 17 - 32 | 1698 | 1796 - 1612 |
| 33 - 64 | 1422 | 2039 - 1176 |
| 65 - 103 | 820 | 1201 - 300 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.