Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 1812 | 1914 - 1695 |
| 5 - 8 | 1562 | 1610 - 1521 |
| 9 - 16 | 1461 | 1592 - 1371 |
| 17 - 32 | 1253 | 1493 - 1111 |
| 33 - 48 | 853 | 1266 - 478 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.