Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2303 | 2446 - 2234 |
| 5 - 8 | 2139 | 2200 - 2119 |
| 9 - 16 | 2041 | 2097 - 1962 |
| 17 - 32 | 1834 | 1995 - 1716 |
| 33 - 64 | 1570 | 1857 - 1400 |
| 65 - 86 | 1208 | 1469 - 296 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.