Event Preview
Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJCCSunday, January 18, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2280 | 2430 - 2220 |
| 5 - 8 | 2106 | 2150 - 2070 |
| 9 - 16 | 2005 | 2092 - 1910 |
| 17 - 32 | 1765 | 1883 - 1621 |
| 33 - 64 | 1506 | 1870 - 1283 |
| 65 - 83 | 1187 | 1650 - 307 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.