Pacific Northwest Cup (Div 3 Foil)

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CRAIG Whitman 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 2%
2 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
3 SULLIVAN Emma 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2% -
3 QUINN Anna 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
5 WALCOTT Nicolas T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
6 DEMEAUX Gregory 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
7 CHOI Elliot 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% - -
8 WALLACE Alexander 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
9 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13% 1%
10 BREILING Niklas 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
11 SHERMAN Dave 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
12 MASKARINEC Cerelia 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
13 CANNON Ezra Xavier 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% - -
13 CHRISTIANSEN Casey 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.