The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing ROC(DV1A, DV2, VET), RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
3 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
5 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
6 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
7 YAN Noelle 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
8 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
9 OH Ceana 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
10 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 HSU Kaylin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
12 WELBORN Calissa 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
13 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
15 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
16 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
17 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
18 SEIGEL Norah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
19 YANICELLI Sloane 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
20 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
21 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
22 HO Addison 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
23 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 3%
24 PENG Serena 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
25 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
26 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
27 LEE Allison 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
28 DO Leila 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
29 GUAN Adeline 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
30 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
31 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
32 HWANG Alison 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
33 SWANSON Alexa 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
34 KO Claire 100% 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
35 RAO Sonia D. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
36 REN Kayley 100% 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
37 LUH Mia P. 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
38 DESAI Esha 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
39 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
40 SHUM Maya 100% 99% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
41 OTEYZA Camille 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
42 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 100% 97% 64% 23% 4% - -
43 XIE Su 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
44 HOBSON Ava 100% 98% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
45 YANICELLI B.B. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
46 CUI alivia 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
46 JANEW Anastasia 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
48 BAIXAULI Carme 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
49 ZAMELIS Madelyn 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
50 GOEL Riyana 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
51 ZHENG Zoe 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
52 ZHANG Ivy 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
53 SINGH Sania 100% 18% 1% - - - -
54 DAMJI Alia 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
55 FONG Ellis 100% 19% 2% - - - -
56 BUI Aubrie 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.