Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, April 8, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
3 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
3 TENG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
5 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
6 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
7 ALFAU LARACUENTE Gabriel 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
8 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
9 KILGALLEN William 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
10 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
11 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
13 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
14 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 4%
15 LIU Kevin 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2%
16 BHATIA Ekam 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
17 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
18 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
19 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
20 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
21 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10%
22 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
23 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
24 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
25 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
26 LUCAS Hayden 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
27 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
28 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
29 ONG Chinli 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
30 KOGAN Nikita 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1% -
31 WU Richard 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
32 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 9% 1%
33 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
34 CHENG Brandon 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
35 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
36 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
37 ZHOU Grant 100% 97% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
38 ZELAYA Jayson 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
39 WEN Edward 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
40 FORD Tyler J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 35% 5%
41 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
42 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
43 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
44 TIAGI George 100% 92% 58% 20% 3% - -
45 SPRANG Nicholas D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
46 PERRON Robert 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
47 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
48 TIAGI Daniel 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
49 CHEN Samuel 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
50 WANG Weiyun 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
51 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
52 MANESCU Miron 100% 85% 46% 15% 3% - -
53 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
54 LEE Anderson 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
55 CHAMBERS Thomas J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
56 HUFF Clayton R. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
57 LIGH Checed 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
58 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
59 AMES Kylan 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
59 KUMAR Arjun 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
61 FANG Eason 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
62 WANG Yufei 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
63 ARBEITMAN Evan 100% 57% 18% 3% - - -
63 KIM Theodore 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
65 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
66 HENDERSON Jack 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
67 PINTO Augusto 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% -
68 POWER Alex 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
69 BARROWS Hunter 100% 36% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.