Premier Challenge ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, April 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
2 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
3 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
3 SHI Julia 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
5 TURNOF Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
6 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
7 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
8 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
9 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
10 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
11 REN Xinling 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
12 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
13 CHIANG Melissa 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
14 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 14%
15 CROOKS Riley 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
16 LIU Kelly 100% 99% 79% 37% 8% 1%
17 WANG yining 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
18 BURGHGRAEF Danielle 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
19 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
20 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
21 ZHANG Emily 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
22 CHAVAN Arya 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2%
23 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
24 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
25 CHI Claire 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
26 LI Alexis 100% 100% 93% 52% 15% 2% -
27 NEUMAN Ella 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
28 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 99% 71% 28% 5% -
29 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
30 ZHANG Ruijia Alexa 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
31 FAN Grace 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
32 ONG Lauren 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
33 GLUCK Myriam 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
34 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
35 PASUPULETI Laya 100% 76% 15% 1% - - -
36 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
37 KHERA Anya 100% 34% 2% - - - -
38 KHOST Maeve 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
39 YAO Annabelle 100% 11% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.