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Y-14 Men's Saber

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BONETTI Brayden	-	-	1%	6%	24%	41%	27%
2	SHINCHUK Daniel	-	1%	10%	32%	40%	16%
3	ATWOOD Griffin	-	-	-	2%	12%	38%	48%
3	ALMEDA Stanislav	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	16%
5	DOMINIQUE Remson	-	1%	7%	31%	47%	15%
6	NOTOPRADONO Nicholas	-	-	3%	14%	31%	35%	16%
7	PEREIRA Beckham	-	1%	9%	31%	41%	18%
8	PANNOZZO Luca	-	3%	17%	39%	33%	9%
9	ONG Dylan	-	-	4%	23%	44%	28%
10	OLOUGHLIN Quin	-	2%	9%	25%	34%	24%	7%
11	NAYAK Surin K.	-	-	4%	18%	36%	33%	10%
12	COGLIANO Max	4%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%	-
13	RAJMOHAN Arya	-	4%	25%	40%	25%	5%
14	WELSTEAD Nicholas	-	3%	19%	41%	30%	7%
15	KIM Daehwan(Benjamin)	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	17%	4%
16	SASSI Ilyas	-	4%	23%	40%	27%	6%
17	YOSHEA Henry	-	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%
18	SHAPIRO Simon	-	3%	14%	32%	34%	16%	2%
19	SAKAYEDA Jacob	-	2%	10%	25%	34%	23%	6%
19	LAMTAN Christoffer	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
21	HAIRABEDIAN Ellis	6%	23%	35%	25%	9%	2%	-
22	KHOTLINE Daniel	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	21%
23	TAYCHER Aaron	1%	6%	21%	33%	27%	10%	1%
24	KUMAR Avinash	1%	9%	27%	35%	22%	6%	1%
25	SONG Nicholas	12%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-
26	HSU Aiden	15%	38%	33%	11%	2%	-
27	SHINCHUK Jacob	6%	29%	41%	20%	4%	-
28	LIU Eric	3%	15%	30%	31%	16%	4%	-
29	EPLETT Nicholas	3%	16%	31%	30%	15%	4%	-
30	GRIGORYAN Sevak	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	4%	-
31	SONG Aidan	-	2%	12%	28%	33%	20%	5%
32	TUNIK Joshuah	16%	40%	32%	10%	1%	-
33	ELLINOR Cameron	8%	29%	35%	21%	6%	1%	-
34	DEMERS Bodhi	-	-	4%	19%	38%	30%	8%
35	CHANG Timothy	1%	6%	21%	33%	27%	10%	1%
36	LIN Justin	4%	25%	38%	24%	8%	1%	-
37	PATEL Arush	7%	24%	34%	25%	9%	2%	-
38	LEE Damian	29%	50%	18%	3%	-	-
39	SAUVE Quinn	22%	45%	26%	6%	-	-
40	FARBER Jake	52%	36%	10%	1%	-	-	-
41	VOHRA Ekam	36%	41%	18%	4%	-	-	-
42	SMITH WIlliam	3%	15%	32%	31%	16%	4%	-
43	FURLONG Luke	18%	37%	30%	12%	3%	-	-
44	HAFEZ Alexander	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%	-
45	BROWN Nihar	26%	44%	25%	5%	-	-
46	GAYTAN Antonio	42%	46%	11%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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