Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
2 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
3 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 31%
3 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
5 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
6 HU Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
7 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
8 MODANLOU Navid 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
9 CHUNG Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
10 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
11 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 27%
12 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
13 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
14 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
15 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
16 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
17 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
18 YI Nathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
19 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 47% 10%
20 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
21 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
22 PENG Yue 100% 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1%
23 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
24 LEE Benjamin 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
25 SUN Ethan 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
26 BUI Henry 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
27 CHHU Allen 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2%
28 KARIMOV Amir 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
29 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
30 BENNETT Pierce 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
31 FONG Henry 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
32 BUI Ryan 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
33 NGUYEN Noah 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
34 JONES Jackson 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
35 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 88% 47% 8% 1% -
36 NAM Nathaniel 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
37 LEE Anton 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
38 DOAN Christopher 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
39 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
40 KONG Brandon 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
41 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
42 KROPP Wesley 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
43 EVANS George 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
44 BURHANAN Tangguh 100% 74% 27% 3% - -
45 KUPPUSAMY Kotravel 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
46 SERMONS Asa 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
47 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
48 CHAN Ryan 100% 37% 6% - - - -
49 CHAN Ian 100% 31% 3% - - - -
50 SMITH Gavin 100% 73% 23% 2% - -
51 TRIPATHY Ayush 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
52 FENG Xinmin 100% 83% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.