Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-10 Men's Foil

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 96% 60% 15% 1%
2 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 98% 75% 33% 5%
3 ALANAZI Saif 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
3 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 LIU Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
6 ZENG Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
7 HUA Isaac 100% 89% 44% 11% 1% -
8 PACK Lindsey 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
9 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
10 HUANG Anthony 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
11 MARTIRE Francis 100% 75% 23% 3% - -
11 DIAZ Matthias 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
13 TUESTA Noah 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4%
14 CHEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
15 HAGERMAN Mark 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 3%
16 CAINE Liam 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
17 SAFAI Bardia 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
18 SCHMIDT Quinton 100% 49% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.