3rd Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, February 22, 2019 at 5:00 PM

Thousand Oaks, CA - Thousand Oaks, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 LE Hayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
2 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
3 ALKIN Isaac 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
5 GAO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
6 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
7 LEITH Jack 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
8 KIM Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
9 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 8% -
10 LIRA Daine C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
11 STONE Esmond A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
12 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
13 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
14 BRISTOL Brijen 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% - -
15 REED Samuel J. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - - -
16 PADOS Tamas 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - - -
17 YOO Joshua H. 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - - -
18 TANNER Jackson M. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
19 REAGAN Matthew 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
20 SONG RYAN 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
22 RAO Rayaan 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.