Event Results

Div I-A Women's Épée

Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROCSurprise Map

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA

27 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	HONG Elaine	D D D V V V	V V V V V	4.2	3	-1.2
2	FOELLMER Kristin	V V V D V D	V V V V D	5.5	4	-1.5
3	YANG Alisa	V V V V V V	V V D	5.0	6	+1.0
3	FURMAN Maria	V V V V V V	V V D	3.2	6	+2.8
5	PROKOP Jeannine A.	D V V V V	V D	3.1	4	+0.9
6	YOU Emily	V V V D D V	V V D	2.9	4	+1.1
7	GUMAGAY Erika L.	D D V V V V	V V D	4.3	4	-0.3
8	QIU Emily	V D D V D V	V V D	3.2	3	-0.2
9	CHENG Ava	V V V V V	D	4.0	5	+1.0
10	MILEWSKI Nicole	V V V V D V	D	4.8	5	+0.2
11	KUMAR Anusha	V D V V V D	V D	3.0	4	+1.0
12	TAPIA Sandy	V V D D V V	V D	4.7	4	-0.7
13	PULLEN Ayah	D D V V V V	V D	2.8	4	+1.2
14	PINNAMANENI Drithi	D V D V V D	V D	3.6	3	-0.6
15	PEELER Julia	V D V D D	V D	3.3	2	-1.3
16	SPURLIN Alicen	D D D V V D	V D	3.5	2	-1.5
17	BOWIE Charlotta	V D D V V	D	2.7	3	+0.3
18	BANKS Lauren M.	D V D V V D	D	2.4	3	+0.6
19	FANG Kayla	D V D V D D	D	0.9	2	+1.1
20	VAZQUEZ-LOPEZ Veronica J.	V V D D D D	D	3.5	2	-1.5
20	ALAWNEH Lujain	D V D D D V	D	0.5	2	+1.5
22	NOH Rachel	V D V D D D	D	1.1	2	+0.9
23	MURPHY Katherine	D V D D D	D	1.1	1	-0.1
24	RAFFERTY Catherine	D D D D D	D	0.8	0	-0.8
25	ALAWNEH Leen	D D D D D D	D	1.2	0	-1.2
26	MACEDON Gianna	D D D D D D	D	2.0	0	-2.0
27	MAY Courtney	D D D D D D	D	0.7	0	-0.7

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!