Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHENG Valentina 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
2 HUA Catherine W. 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
3 CHI Claire 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
3 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
5 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
6 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
7 COLBY Mercer 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
8 FLATT Sophia 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
9 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 68% 25% 4% -
10 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4%
11 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% -
12 WALKER Terra 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
13 WOOD Victoria 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
14 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 95% 70% 31% 5%
15 WODISKA Ava 100% 34% 4% - - -
16 MARTIN Audrey 100% 64% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.