Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
3 SINGH Evangelina 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 1%
3 SHI Micah 100% 98% 80% 41% 8%
5 LIU Jenna 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
6 ZHANG Caroline 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
7 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
8 REILLY Carys 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
9 FILABI Aliya-Kay 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
10 SMOLICH Emily 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
11 FENG Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 59%
12 BENNETT Eloise 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
13 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
14 XU Charlene 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
15 MCCABE Ashley 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
16 BALMER Zoe 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
17 SEREEDAR Murungoo 100% 73% 30% 6% -
18 WANG Allyson 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
19 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
20 WU Karina 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
21 XIE Sophia 100% 85% 45% 12% 1%
22 PROKUP Maren 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
23 YUE Alice 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.