Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
2 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
3 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
3 REHM Liam 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
5 MOYD Aaron 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
6 LIN Felix 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
7 VLASENKO Bohdan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
8 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19% 2%
9 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
9 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 29%
11 SLEP Solomon 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
12 BREUER Daniel 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
13 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
14 CRAIN Bennett 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% 1% -
15 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
16 SUN Ziyao 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
17 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
18 BAKIAN Tristan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
19 WEST-BEY Ahmad 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
20 HALL Noah 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
21 ROORDA Easton 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
22 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
23 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
23 MILLER Felix 100% 85% 48% 17% 3% - -
25 ANTICO Lorenzo Sebastian 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
26 FENG Brendan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
27 PARCELL Colby 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.