Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 MARTIRE Luca 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
3 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
5 JIN Andy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
6 SHAW Spencer 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 1%
7 JIANG Bohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
8 XIE Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
9 HE Ryan 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
10 BABER Shaheer 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
11 CHEN Hendrick 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
12 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
13 LIU Alex 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
14 ALANAZI Saif 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
15 LICHTI Josheb 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
16 TSENG Lucas 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
17 LIU Robert 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
18 TUESTA Noah 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
19 LIU Anthony 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
20 BRAIZINHA David 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
21 SUN Andy 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
22 PARMAR Veer 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
23 WU Xian 100% 100% 90% 57% 18% 2%
24 XIANG Wangzhi 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
25 CHOW Kingsley 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
26 TUCKER Nechiga 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
27 HUANG Anthony 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
28 MARTIRE Francis 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
29 WEBER Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
30 WEST Benjamin 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
31 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
32 CAINE Liam 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
33 JOHNSON Campbell 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.