Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 11%
3 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
3 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
5 RASO Olivia 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
6 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
7 BASILE Gianna 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
8 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
9 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
10 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
11 MAGGY Melanie D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 DONG Emily 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
13 STONE Colleen R. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
14 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
15 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
16 HE Katherine 100% 71% 24% 4% - -
17 MARKERT Delaney 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
18 GABAY Catherine 100% 72% 27% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.