Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG Justin - 1% 10% 45% 44%
2 FORMENTI Giulio - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
3 WALKE Devin - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
3 WEINSTEIN Nate - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
5 ETIN Ari - 2% 18% 51% 28%
6 KLEBS Robert 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
7 DECK Tyson - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
8 CLARK Keagan 1% 7% 29% 42% 21%
9 BAKIAN Tristan 44% 41% 14% 2% -
10 KUSANAGI Soshi 4% 25% 41% 25% 6% -
11 SUN Ziyao 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
12 JOHNSON Waldron 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
13 LIN Felix - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
14 DRZEWICZEWSKI Sean 33% 42% 20% 5% - -
15 BERGER Jacob 43% 43% 13% 1% -
16 FARAON Paulus 15% 47% 32% 6% -
17 PARCELL Colby 11% 37% 35% 14% 3% -
18 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
19 SU Ji 9% 36% 42% 12% 1%
20 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 3% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1%
21 FRUTH Evan 9% 36% 38% 15% 2%
22 KENNEDY Aidan 62% 32% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.