Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
2 RINALDI Savio 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
3 HARDRICK Noah 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
3 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
5 HU Harry 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 MEHTA Yash 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
7 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
8 BADMUS Joshua 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
9 CAI fungyu 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
10 WEI Rian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
11 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
12 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 27% 5%
13 BOSITA Brennan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2%
14 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
15 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
16 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
17 KANE Kiran 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 6%
18 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
19 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
20 LEE Ezra 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
21 LIAO Sirui 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
22 GORDON Ezekiel 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
23 PAUL James 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
24 PIPKE Garrett 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
25 LIU Jayden 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4%
26 LEVY Daniel 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
27 PERRIN Leo 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
28 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
29 OTT William 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
30 DONNELL Cillian 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
31 PLATT Michael (Trace) 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
32 JAVIER Xavier 100% 98% 84% 55% 22% 4%
33 FEI Danny 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
34 GONZALEZ Leo 100% 98% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
35 DE HOSSON Finn 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
36 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
37 ROKALA Henry 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
38 BONGIORNO Redding 100% 99% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.