Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAP Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
2 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 KANDAGADLA Rishi 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
3 HE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
5 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 ZAIDI Adil 100% 98% 79% 28% 3% < 1%
7 MOE Annan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
8 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
9 LIU Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
10 RUSSELL James 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
11 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 39%
12 TSAI Caleb 100% 100% 96% 71% 22% 2%
13 TOMASI John 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
14 CHEN Zixuan 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
15 HINDS David E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 31%
16 REDONDO Tomas D. 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
17 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
18 SUN Henry 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
19 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 78% 32% 7% 1% - -
20 GUTHRIE Aaron 100% 79% 27% 4% - -
21 KIMURA Ryo 100% 47% 7% - - -
22 BAYER John P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
23 NEWELL Tim 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
24 HAHM Samuel 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
25 DO Kevin 100% 97% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
26 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
27 THAN Duc 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.