Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPURLIN Alicen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 8%
3 KUMAR Anusha 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
5 MACEDON Gianna 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
6 VAZQUEZ-LOPEZ Veronica J. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
7 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
8 NOH Rachel 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
9 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
10 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
11 BOGDANOVSKAYA Elizaveta 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% - -
12 MURPHY Katherine 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
13 MORET Brighid E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
14 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
15 MURPHY Megan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
16 LY Hannah 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% 1% -
17 BENSON Charlotte 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
18 MARTIN Audrey 100% 71% 20% 2% - - -
19 ALAWNEH Lujain 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
20 MAY Courtney 100% 51% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.