April 16 @ Marx Fencing Foil NE Developmental

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Marx Fencing Academy - Acton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NOVIKOV Yann 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
2 HAN Jiaren 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
3 REN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
4 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
5 LI Jayden 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% < 1%
6 BU Ethan 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
7 DENG Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
8 GE Deanna 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
9 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
10 BENNETT Emi 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
11 GRETSKY Edward 100% 95% 53% 13% 1% -
12 SCHWARTZ Aidric 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
13 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 99% 86% 46% 10% -
14 KIRBY Emelie 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2%
15 AFANASYEV Semyon 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
16 WANG Isabella 100% 83% 24% 3% - -
17 SUN Jacob 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
18 CASEY Liam 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.