2023 Arizona Summer Nationals Qualifiers

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 95% 66% 18%
2 BROWN Darius D. 100% 100% 94% 63% 17%
3 BIEBEL Joseph E. 100% 99% 81% 40% 9% 1%
3 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
5 KRAVETZ Benjamin (Ben) D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
6 THOGERSEN Eric J. 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
7 RITCHIE Phillip 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
8 THORNE Casey B. 100% 99% 84% 42% 9% 1%
9 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
10 VENET Téva 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
11 SAUCEDO Fernando 100% 77% 33% 6% -
12 WILLIAMS Colton 100% 95% 60% 18% 2%
13 BORDIER Timeo 100% 64% 17% 2% -
14 BEAN Ethan 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
15 KINGSLEY Daniel A. 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% -
16 PARKER Lane S. 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
17 KING Charles 100% 98% 78% 34% 5%
17 AJAYI Phil 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
19 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
20 BALDWIN Alexander 100% 95% 69% 28% 4%
21 NIKOLOV Ruben 100% 95% 65% 21% 1%
22 CUEVAS Tom 100% 97% 74% 33% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.