Duel On The River XVIII

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Bay Regional Fencing Alliance - Freeland, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
2 KIM Daniel 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
3 OWENS Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 48% 9%
3 BONE Porter 100% 96% 63% 16% 1% -
5 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 3%
6 KAROLAK Dale W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
7 BASS Nathan 100% 100% 86% 41% 9% 1%
8 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
9 OWENS Carrie M. 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
10 OWENS Luke J. 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
11 HARRISON Gabriel 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
12 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
13 POGOSIAN Roman 100% 96% 46% 9% 1% -
14 GOEL Noam 100% 100% 91% 63% 25% 4%
15 KIMMEL Joseph 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
16 ZHAO Aimee 100% 11% - - - -
17 CASS-CALAY Shannon 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
18 OXIE Matthew 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.