James Madison University Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 9:45 AM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIDES Nathaniel S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 2%
3 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 17%
5 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
6 AZIZI Zahl 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
7 REEDER Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
8 MORRIS Luke 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
9 UHRICH Reese 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
10 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
11 SOPHRONIUS Jeddie 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
12 PISTONE Leah 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
13 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
14 KASPER Lucia 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
15 BRUTON Vinton 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
16 BUNCHER Michael 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
17 YEH Kentren R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
18 POOLE Katherine 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
19 TREADWAY Ella 100% 69% 24% 3% - - -
20 KANE Rachel 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
21 LIMBER Ellen 100% 93% 54% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.