James Madison University Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 1:30 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MONTESI Eric 100% 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
2 HERMES Henry 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
3 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34% 4%
3 BLACK Ethan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
5 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
6 ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
7 WATSON Raymond 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
8 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
9 BROWN William (Will) C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
10 NIEMI Otto 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
11 BARTLETT Lauren 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
12 SOUTHWORTH Connor 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
13 ZIMSKY James 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% 1% -
14 WALLACE George 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
14 LACHER Daniel 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
16 BLANKENSHIP Benjamin T. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
17 CLARK Thomas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
18 POOLE Katherine 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
19 WU Shaochi 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
20 EDDY Andrew 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
21 WALKER Joseph 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.