James Madison University Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 1:30 PM

JMU University Rec Center - Harrisonburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 22%
2 KASPER Lucia 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
3 BROWN William (Will) C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 DERBY Joshua (Josh) C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
5 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
6 YEH Kentren R. 100% 99% 89% 53% 14% 1%
7 UHRICH Reese 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
8 BUNCHER Michael 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
9 LEWIS River 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
10 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% -
11 LOVELACE Vander 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
12 LAMBERT Luke 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
13 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
14 POOLE Katherine 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
15 BRUTON Vinton 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
16 KANE Rachel 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
17 LIMBER Ellen 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
18 ALLEN Ariana 100% 92% 47% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.