Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
2 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
3 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
3 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
5 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
6 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
7 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
8 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
9 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
10 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
12 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
13 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 4%
14 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
15 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
16 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
17 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
18 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 14%
19 SO Catelyn 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
20 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
21 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
22 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
23 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
24 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
25 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
26 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
27 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
28 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
29 LEE Sophia 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
30 XIAO julie 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
31 JEONG Katie 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
32 DONG Angel 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
33 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
34 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
35 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
36 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
37 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
38 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
39 NGUYEN Siena 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
40 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
41 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
42 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
43 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 13% 1%
44 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
45 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
46 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
46 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
46 LU Elaine 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
49 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14%
50 CHEN Ashley 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 1%
51 WU Helen 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
52 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
53 LU Amy 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
54 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
55 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
56 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
57 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
58 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
59 LIN Nicole 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
60 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 6%
61 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 2%
62 FESTA Carina 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
63 LUKER Sophia 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
64 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
65 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
66 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 10%
67 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
68 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
69 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
70 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
71 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
72 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
72 YAO Rainie 100% 96% 54% 15% 2% -
74 YANG Lea 100% 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
75 PABIAN Emilia 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
76 SCOTT Eve 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
77 KRAVCHENKO Mariia 100% 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
78 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
79 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
80 KHAN Alissa 100% 96% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
81 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
81 FEIG Sela 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
83 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
84 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
85 WANG Zidan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
86 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
87 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
88 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
88 LIU Yifei 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
90 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% -
91 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
92 HUAI Delilah 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
93 WEI JoyAnn 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
94 SCHICK Veronica 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
95 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
96 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
97 CHAVAN Arya 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
98 XU Emily T. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
98 HITOMI Nadya 100% 86% 41% 11% 1% - -
100 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
101 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
102 LIAO Siwen 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
103 WANG Gloria 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
104 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
105 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
105 TSUI Natalie 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 8% 1%
107 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
108 HUANG MADELINE 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
109 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
110 TODD Phoebe 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
111 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
112 FANG Sophie 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
113 TREACY Aisling 100% 98% 64% 23% 4% - -
114 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
115 ALDERFER Katherine 100% 11% - - - - -
116 BAWA Anahat 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
117 MARYASH Samantha 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
118 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
119 CAO Sophie 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
120 NIE Chuhan 100% 72% 27% 4% - -
121 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
122 HU Michelle 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
123 WILLIAMS Peyton 100% 11% - - - - -
124 ZHOU Ziling 100% 16% 1% - - -
125 BUSHMAN MaeBelle 100% 6% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.