Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, April 21, 2023 at 1:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Fan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
2 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
3 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
5 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
7 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51%
8 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
9 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
10 MAO Amy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
11 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
12 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
13 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
14 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 3%
15 LEE Scarlett 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
16 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
17 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
18 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
19 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
20 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
21 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
22 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
23 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
24 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
25 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
26 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
27 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
28 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
29 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 15% 2%
30 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
31 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
32 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
33 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
34 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
35 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
36 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
37 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
38 YIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
39 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
40 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
41 WU Amelia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
42 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
43 HONG Elaine 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
44 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
45 KIM Jayna 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
46 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
47 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
48 BARG Daniella 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
49 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
50 HESS Heidi J. 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
50 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
52 FENG ge 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
53 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 6%
54 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
55 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1%
56 BECKMAN Ana 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
57 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
58 BUSH emma 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
58 SONG Angela 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
60 YAO Yilin 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
61 LU Junyao 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
62 KUMAR Eva 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
63 LEE Olivia 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
64 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
65 SU Evelyn 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
66 WANG Jessie 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
67 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
68 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 94% 64% 23% 4% -
69 WANG Angelina 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
70 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 5%
71 AI Amy 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
72 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
73 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
74 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
75 LIN Waiyuk 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
76 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 4%
77 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
78 KORKIN Alice 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
79 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
80 LI Alisha 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
81 LEE Natasha 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
82 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
83 REMEZA Alissa 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
84 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
85 AZMEH nour 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
85 LI Fei 100% 96% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
87 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
88 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
89 PHUKAN Indra 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
90 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
91 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
92 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
93 DENG Annie 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
94 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
95 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
96 GUO Luxi 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
97 DOUGLAS Marketa F. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
97 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
99 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
100 LIU Nicole 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
101 BARG Margaret 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
102 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
103 WANG Victoria 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
104 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
105 YOU Emily 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
106 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
107 MUN Brianna K. 100% 81% 38% 8% 1%
108 ZHU Serene M. 100% 83% 41% 9% 1%
108 GUJJA Misha 100% 84% 43% 10% 1%
110 PANT Anisha 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
111 REKEDA Anna 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
112 DONGES Anna 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
113 CARRIER Meredith 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
114 WALLER DEL VALLE Alexandra 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
115 CANNING Charlotte 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
116 NAKA Emily 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
117 LIN Ashley 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
117 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
119 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
120 LIN Ariel 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
121 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
122 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
123 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
124 ANDERSON Claire 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
124 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
126 CHANG Chloe 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
127 HUANG Lanlan 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
128 SHELTON Devyn 100% 23% 2% - - - -
129 LEE Yedda 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
130 KUKVA Taisiya 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
131 NELSON Grace E. 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
132 LIU Christina A. 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
133 WITTE Vera 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
134 POON Desiree 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
135 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
136 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
137 MENDOZA zoie 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
137 MARTIN Adriana 100% 35% 5% - - - -
139 HOPKINS Leila 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.