Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 2:00 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 9%
5 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
6 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
7 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
8 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
9 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
9 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
11 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
12 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
13 WOZNIAK Dagmara I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
14 LIU Sophie 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
15 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 9% 1%
16 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
17 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
19 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
20 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 15% 2%
21 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
22 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
23 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
24 SHI Cathleen 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
25 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
26 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
27 PAUL Lila 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
28 BROWN Emma 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
29 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
30 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
31 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
31 HUAI Delilah 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
33 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
34 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
35 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 7%
36 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 4%
37 JUNG Irene 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
38 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 99% 92% 61% 18% 1%
39 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
40 LI Amanda C. 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
41 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
42 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
43 LIU Yifei 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
44 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
45 LU Amy 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
46 MIKA Veronica 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
47 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
47 LIN Audrey J. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
49 KIM Marley I. 100% 97% 78% 40% 12% 2% -
50 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 8% 1%
51 MARYASH Samantha 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
52 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
53 BILILIES Sophia 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% -
54 TURNER Zoe Y. 100% 100% 91% 62% 23% 3%
55 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
56 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 98% 76% 36% 8% 1%
57 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
58 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
59 LACSON Sarah 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
60 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
61 FESTA Carina 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% - -
62 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
63 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
64 HUANG MADELINE 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
65 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 14%
66 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
67 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
68 JEONG Katie 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
69 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
70 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
71 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
72 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
73 LU Elaine 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
74 NATH Trisha 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
75 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
76 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
77 NGUYEN Siena 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
78 LI Victoria J. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
79 GRAFF Sophie 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
80 GHAYALOD reya 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
81 KER Grace 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
82 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
83 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
84 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
85 HUNG Anna 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
86 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
86 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
88 TSUI Natalie 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
89 MUND Ruth 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
90 SCOTT Eve 100% 62% 19% 2% - -
91 YAO Rainie 100% 22% 2% - - -
92 TONG Jessie 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
93 WEI JoyAnn 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
94 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
95 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
96 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
97 KHAN Alissa 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
98 LIAO Siwen 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
98 SO Catelyn 100% 90% 55% 17% 3% - -
100 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
101 WEI Vivian W. 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
102 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
103 LEE Sophia 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% -
104 YANG Lea 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
105 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
106 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
107 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.