America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LUNDBORG Mark R. | D V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| 2 | MATT Chris | V D V V V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | HECK Steven D. | V V D D V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 3 | KASTOR Jacaeber | V V D V V D | V V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 5 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 6 | BUKOWSKI Todd | V V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 7 | HICHA Paul R. | V D V D V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 8 | BARBOUR James (Jim) W. | D D V D D V | V V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 9 | KIZIK Val | V V V V V V | V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 10 | DAHL Chris | D V V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 11 | KRASNICH Mike | D V V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | LEAR Donald W. | V V V D V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 13 | MALNATI Donald H. | D D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 14 | RUNYAN Joshua | V D V V D V | V D | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| 15 | ZINNI Gene | V V V V D D | V D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 16 | GORMLEY Peter J. | D V D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 17 | CRETEN joachim | V D V V V | D | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| 18 | ANTHONY Jr Donald K. | V D V D V V | D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 19 | GRAFF Jon | V V V D V D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 20 | SU Ji | V V D V D | D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 21 | MYERS Brent M. | D V D V V D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 22 | ELDER John | V V V D D D | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 23 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | V D D V V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 24 | BLAIR III Ray H. | D D V D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 25 | WILDMAN Steve | D D V D D | D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 26 | PARAGANO Vincent | D V D D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 27 | SRERE Mark A. | D D D V D D | D | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| 28 | MIGHELL Jason | D D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 29 | MCLAUGHLIN Joseph R. | V D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 30 | CAROTHERS Michael B. | V D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 31 | HUTCHERSON Jesse | D D V D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 32 | DANIELL Steven J. | D D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 33 | SIGNORELLI Sam F. | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 34 | PEREIRA Gabriel | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.