Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Monday, April 24, 2023 at 10:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LOISEAU Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 42% 3%
3 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
3 SCALES Chad 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
5 LIOU Solomon 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
6 RYAN Christopher 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -
7 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
8 STOCK Jordan 100% 99% 85% 46% 11% 1%
9 SANTA MARIA Carlos A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 14%
11 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
12 PENGELLY Neil 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
13 SPRINGER Michael 100% 98% 69% 24% 3%
14 KIM Jeff 100% 67% 20% 2% - -
15 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 89% 49% 9% 1% -
16 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 44% 4%
17 LUO Aaron 100% 97% 64% 20% 2%
18 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
19 SANTOS Felipe 100% 97% 69% 26% 4% -
20 SHULL Marc 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
21 HESS Marc F. 100% 79% 33% 5% - -
22 REED David 100% 22% 2% - -
23 DAVIS Kelly 100% 27% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.