Event Results
Division 1 Championships/April NACSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DRAGONETTI Walter E. | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | RANES Evan | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 3 | VARNEY John R. | V V V V D | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. | D D D D V V | V V V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 5 | FRANK Fred | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 6 | RICHARDS Dick | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 7 | HUDSON Jeffrey (Jeff) A. | V D V D D V | V V V D | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| 8 | SKOPIK Jr August | D V V D D D | V V V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 9 | AMELI Sean | V V V D D V | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 10 | O'DOWD Andrew J. | D V D V V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 11 | VIEDERMAN Matthew (Matt) | D V D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V D V V D V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 13 | KLEIN Johannes | D D V V D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 14 | EVANS Allen L. | V V V D D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 15 | HANAHAN Thomas M. | V D D V V D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 16 | PERKA Michael | V V V D D D | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 17 | JENSEN David | V V V V V V | D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 18 | WATRALL Rick | V V V V V D | D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 19 | OCHS Bradley C. | V V D V D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 20 | SZOKOLAY Robert E. | V V D D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 21 | MAZZOLI Julio C. | D V D V V V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 22 | HUGHES Michael D. | D V D V V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 23 | MARIANI Lou | V V D D V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 24 | SWANSON Dave | V D V V D D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 24 | KANE Tim | D V V D D V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 26 | MCDONNELL Michael | V D V V D D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 27 | WHEELER Mark C. | V V D D D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 28 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | D D V V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 29 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | V D V D D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 30 | BENNETT Craig | D D D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 31 | POPOVICI Alexander M. | D D D D V V | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 32 | ALEXANDER Chuck | V D D D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 33 | MASE James B. | D D D D V V | D | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| 34 | HVIDING Ketil | D V D V D D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 35 | WAGMAN Robert S. | D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 36 | PIERRO Roger | D D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 37 | SMITH Herman E. | D D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 38 | SWANN William A. | D V D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 39 | NEALE James H. | D D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 40 | TKACH Robert W. | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 41 | PITZEL John E. | D D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |