AFM Youth Epee Cup - Event #3

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM

AFM Sunnyvale - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DING Max 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
2 RAU Shogun 100% 93% 60% 21% 3%
3 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 LIU Daniel 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
5 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
6 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 2%
7 LIU Xuyao 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
8 GARMASH Vladik 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
9 LUO Alvin (Yueyang) Y. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
10 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
11 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 90% 55% 16% 1%
12 BOROVIKOV Sasha 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
13 ZHANG William 100% 87% 52% 17% 2%
14 LIN Daniel 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
15 MANA Sameer 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
16 LI Nathan 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
17 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
18 YU Brandon 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
19 CHAN Nathan 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
20 SONG Joshua 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
21 MA Weichu 100% 96% 74% 37% 8%
22 YU Haoyun Timothy 100% 98% 85% 51% 13% 1%
23 LO Esra 100% 62% 20% 3% -
24 JU Shang 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
25 LI Ethan JW 100% 100% 87% 47% 10%
26 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
27 YE Andrew 100% 75% 29% 5% - -
29 LOUIE Aaron 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
31 JI Steven 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.