San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZILINSKIY Eduard | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | SHAMIS Mark | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | SUVOROV Yuly | V V D V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | LEI Joshua | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | JOHNSON Lucas W. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | WISOFF Jeffrey | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 7 | THORNE Casey B. | D V V V D | V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | DESOUZA Hansel S. | D D D V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 9 | NG Alexander M. | V V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 10 | YULE Alexander L. | V V V D V V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 11 | KIM PAUL | D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | MACHULSKY Ned | D V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | SHUR Yakov C. | V V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 14 | ANDERSON Elias W. | V V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 15 | DORRELL Connor I. | V D V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 16 | SCHINDLER Sergey M. | V D V V D | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 17 | STOLZ Robert | V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 18 | DESSAUER Tobyn M. | V V D V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 19 | LIANG Aaron | V V D V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 20 | SIVAGAR Leo | D V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 21 | HE Jason | V V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 22 | DE JONG Thijmen J. | D V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 23 | TRAN Richard | D V D D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 24 | VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. | V D D D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 25 | GRAY Alex | D D V V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 26 | WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) | V D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 27 | VELO Juan Manuel H. | V D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | DYER CJ | V V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 29 | SCRIBNER Aidan C. | D D V V D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 30 | ZIEBART Jeremy J. | D V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | AU Marcus J. | V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 32 | WALKER William H. | D D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 33 | LIU Felix | D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 34 | GHILDIYAL Manyu | D D V V D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 35 | PELAYO Raphael | V D D D V | D | 0.1 | 2 | +1.9 |
| 36 | HAINES Reagan | V V D D D | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 37 | LIU Bennett | D V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 38 | WANG Xu-Chen | D D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 39 | DYER Carson C. | V D D V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 40 | RAJPAL Sartaj S. | D V D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 41 | ARABACI Jack A. | D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | LIPTON Michael D. | D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 43 | MA Victor | V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 44 | LEONARDINI Barry M. | D D V D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 45 | GARRETT Samuel | D D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 46 | LOUIE Jason | D V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 47 | PORTER Corin | D D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 48 | AMAYA Jonas M. | D D V D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 49 | ZHANG Michael | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 50 | SHOEMAKER Thomas P. | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.