Event Results
TFC WinterFest DIV1A ROCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZILINSKIY Eduard | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | SHAMIS Mark | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | SUVOROV Yuly | V V D V V V | V V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | LEI Joshua | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | JOHNSON Lucas W. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 6 | WISOFF Jeffrey | V V V V D V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 7 | THORNE Casey B. | D V V V D | V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | DESOUZA Hansel S. | D D D V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 9 | NG Alexander M. | V V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 10 | YULE Alexander L. | V V V D V V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 11 | KIM PAUL | D V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | MACHULSKY Ned | D V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | SHUR Yakov C. | V V V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 14 | ANDERSON Elias W. | V V V D V | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 15 | DORRELL Connor I. | V D V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 16 | SCHINDLER Sergey M. | V D V V D | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 17 | STOLZ Robert | V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 18 | DESSAUER Tobyn M. | V V D V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 19 | LIANG Aaron | V V D V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 20 | SIVAGAR Leo | D V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 21 | HE Jason | V V D D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 22 | DE JONG Thijmen J. | D V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 23 | TRAN Richard | D V D D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 24 | VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. | V D D D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 25 | GRAY Alex | D D V V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 26 | WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) | V D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 27 | VELO Juan Manuel H. | V D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 27 | DYER CJ | V V D D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 29 | SCRIBNER Aidan C. | D D V V D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 30 | ZIEBART Jeremy J. | D V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 31 | AU Marcus J. | V D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 32 | WALKER William H. | D D D V D | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 33 | LIU Felix | D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 34 | GHILDIYAL Manyu | D D V V D | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 35 | PELAYO Raphael | V D D D V | D | 0.1 | 2 | +1.9 |
| 36 | HAINES Reagan | V V D D D | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 37 | LIU Bennett | D V D D D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 38 | WANG Xu-Chen | D D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 39 | DYER Carson C. | V D D V D D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 40 | RAJPAL Sartaj S. | D V D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 41 | ARABACI Jack A. | D D D D V | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 42 | LIPTON Michael D. | D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 43 | MA Victor | V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 44 | LEONARDINI Barry M. | D D V D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 45 | GARRETT Samuel | D D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 46 | LOUIE Jason | D V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 47 | PORTER Corin | D D V D D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 48 | AMAYA Jonas M. | D D V D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 49 | ZHANG Michael | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 50 | SHOEMAKER Thomas P. | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |