Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC 2023

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 1:45 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANG CHLOE 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
2 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
3 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
5 ERISKIN Nisa 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
6 SANTANA Mia 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
7 COLELLA Lauren 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
8 MIDYANY Viktoriya 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
9 ZOU You yang (Yoyo) 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
10 CHEN Alicia 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
11 JUDICKE Olivia 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17% 1%
12 REISNER Gabriella 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
13 GERRISH Joanne 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
14 LIU Nicolette 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
15 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
16 SATO Elyse 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
17 ADAMS Kiera 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
18 DUNNE Jessica 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
19 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% - -
20 ABRAHAM Layna 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
21 SAZONOVA Alexandra 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.