Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC 2023

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 3:15 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
3 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
5 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 88% 51% 11%
6 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 38%
7 RYAN Kai 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
8 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
9 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 8%
10 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
11 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
12 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 95% 71% 30% 3%
13 MARGULIS Jared 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
14 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 100% 98% 67% 23% 3%
15 MONTALVO ashur 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1%
16 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 94% 59% 15% 1%
17 LIM Brandon 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
18 MANESCU Miron 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
19 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% - -
20 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
21 HE Bowen 100% 100% 99% 81% 38% 7%
22 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 91% 49% 10% 1%
23 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
24 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
25 AMES Kylan 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4% -
26 PODDAR Shameek 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
27 ZHANG Ray 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
28 SHU Richard 100% 74% 18% 1% - -
29 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% -
30 HARATSCH William 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
30 YEUNG Jerry 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
32 TAUB Dylan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
33 AHLMAN Jason 100% 76% 10% - - -
34 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
35 FENG Luke 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
35 WOLMART Zander 100% 46% 7% - - -
37 GAVILANES Mayson 100% 30% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.